Senators vs. Capitals Prediction & Picks - March 18

Washington Capitals v Florida Panthers

Photo: Carmen Mandato / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Ottawa Senators (34-23-9) will aim to extend a three-game road win streak when they face the Washington Capitals (33-27-8) on Wednesday, March 18 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Prepare for this showdown with a look at who we project to emerge with the victory in Wednesday's contest.

During the last 10 outings for the Capitals (5-4-1), their offense has scored 27 goals while their defense has conceded 23 goals. They have recorded 32 power-play opportunities during that span, and have scored six goals (18.8%).

Senators vs. Capitals Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer projection model for this contest calls for a final result of Capitals 4, Senators 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Capitals (+115)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Capitals (+1.5)

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Senators Splits and Trends

  • The Senators (34-23-9 overall) have a 6-9-15 record in contests that have needed overtime.
  • In the 29 games Ottawa has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 10-10-9 record (good for 29 points).
  • In the eight games this season the Senators scored only one goal, they finished 0-7-1.
  • Ottawa has taken 14 points from the 15 games this season when it scored two goals (5-6-4 record).
  • The Senators have scored at least three goals 42 times, and are 29-9-4 in those games (to record 62 points).
  • In the 22 games when Ottawa has scored a single power-play goal, it went 12-6-4 to register 28 points.
  • In the 44 games when it outshot its opponent, Ottawa is 27-14-3 (57 points).
  • The Senators have been outshot by opponents in 19 games, going 6-7-6 to register 18 points.

Capitals Splits and Trends

  • The Capitals have a record of 33-27-8 this season and are 5-8-13 in overtime matchups.
  • Washington has earned 20 points (9-8-2) in its 19 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Capitals registered only one goal in nine games and they've earned two points (1-8-0) in those contests.
  • Washington has 11 points (3-9-5) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
  • The Capitals have scored three or more goals in 40 games, earning 61 points from those contests.
  • Washington has scored a single power-play goal in 21 games this season and has recorded 23 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Washington is 19-12-3 (41 points).
  • The Capitals have been outshot by opponents in 28 games, going 12-12-4 to register 28 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Senators Rank Senators AVG Capitals AVG Capitals Rank
9th 3.36 Goals Scored 3.1 18th
20th 3.11 Goals Allowed 2.9 7th
9th 28.7 Shots 28.6 10th
2nd 24.2 Shots Allowed 28.1 19th
9th 23.47% Power Play % 16.26% 29th
30th 73.96% Penalty Kill % 79.44% 15th

Senators vs. Capitals Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Wednesday, March 18, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.

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