Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - Nov. 28

The Washington Capitals (13-9-2) square off against the Toronto Maple Leafs (10-10-3) at Capital One Arena on Friday, Nov. 28 at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Capitals defeated the Winnipeg Jets 4-3 in their most recent game, while the Maple Leafs are coming off a 2-1 overtime win over the Columbus Blue Jackets.

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Before watching this matchup, here's our prediction for which squad will emerge victorious in Friday's hockey action.

During the past 10 contests for the Maple Leafs (3-5-2), their offense has totaled 29 goals while their defense has allowed 35 goals. They have recorded 27 power-play opportunities during that time, and have scored five goals (18.5%).

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Friday

Our computer projections model for this encounter calls for a final result of Capitals 5, Maple Leafs 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-159)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Capitals (-1.5)

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Capitals Splits and Trends

• The Capitals have a 13-9-2 record overall, with a 1-2-3 record in contests that have required overtime.
• Washington is 4-3-0 (eight points) in its seven games decided by one goal.
• In the four games this season the Capitals scored just one goal, they've finished 1-3-0 (two points).
• Washington has taken three points from the three games this season when it scored exactly two goals (1-1-1 record).
• The Capitals have scored more than two goals in 16 games (11-4-1, 23 points).
• In the seven games when Washington has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 6-1-0 to record 12 points.
• In the 14 games when it outshot its opponent, Washington is 7-6-1 (15 points).
• The Capitals' opponents have had more shots in seven games. The Capitals went 6-1-0 in those contests (12 points).

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs (10-10-3 overall) have posted a record of 4-3-7 in games that have needed OT this season.
• Toronto has earned 15 points (6-3-3) in its 12 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• When Toronto has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned five points (2-4-1 record).
• The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals in 16 games, earning 18 points from those contests.
• This season, Toronto has scored a lone power-play goal in seven games and picked up five points with a record of 2-4-1.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 1-5-1 (three points).
• The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 15 times this season, and earned 18 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Friday, November 28, 2025 at 5 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.

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