Capitals vs. Senators Prediction & Picks - Oct. 25

Seattle Kraken v Ottawa Senators

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The Washington Capitals (6-2) host the Ottawa Senators (3-4-1) at Capital One Arena on Saturday, Oct. 25 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with each team fresh off of a victory. The Capitals are coming off a 5-1 triumph over the Columbus Blue Jackets, while the Senators knocked off the Philadelphia Flyers 2-1 in their last outing.

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Ahead of this matchup, here is who we project to emerge victorious in Saturday's hockey action.

Capitals vs. Senators Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this game predicts a final score of Capitals 5, Senators 1.

  • Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-126)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Capitals (-1.5)

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Capitals Splits and Trends

  • The Capitals (6-2 overall) have a 1-0-1 record in games that have gone to overtime.
  • Washington has four points (2-1-0) in the three games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the two games this season the Capitals recorded only one goal, they've finished 1-1-0 (two points).
  • The Capitals are 5-1-0 in the six games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 10 points).
  • In the four games when Washington has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it picked up six points after finishing 3-1-0.
  • In the five games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Washington is 3-2-0 (six points).
  • The Capitals have been outshot by opponents three times, winning each game (six points).

Senators Splits and Trends

  • The Senators (3-4-1 overall) have posted a record of 1-1-2 in matchups that have needed OT this season.
  • In the four games Ottawa has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up five points.
  • This season the Senators scored only one goal in one game and they lost that matchup.
  • When Ottawa has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned three points (1-1-1 record).
  • The Senators have scored more than two goals in four games, earning four points from those contests.
  • Ottawa has scored a lone power-play goal in six games this season and has registered five points from those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Ottawa has posted a record of 2-4-0 (four points).
  • The Senators' opponents have had more shots in two games. The Senators went 1-0-1 in those contests (three points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Capitals Rank Capitals AVG Senators AVG Senators Rank
12th 3.25 Goals Scored 2.88 19th
1st 1.75 Goals Allowed 4.25 31st
4th 31.8 Shots 30.1 7th
4th 25.4 Shots Allowed 26.1 9th
12th 22.22% Power Play % 21.43% 15th
19th 75% Penalty Kill % 62.07% 31st

Capitals vs. Senators Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.

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