The Washington Capitals (2-1) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (1-2) at Capital One Arena on Tuesday, Oct. 14 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN, with both teams back in action after a win. The Capitals knocked off the New York Rangers 1-0 in their most recent game, while the Lightning are coming off a 4-3 victory over the Boston Bruins.
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Get ready for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will win the game in Tuesday's hockey action.
Capitals vs. Lightning Predictions for Tuesday
Our computer model for this matchup calls for a final tally of Capitals 5, Lightning 1.
- Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-126)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Capitals (-1.5)
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Capitals Splits and Trends
- The Capitals (51-22-9 overall) had a 9-10-19 record last season in matchups that required overtime.
- In the 26 games Washington played that were decided by one goal, it had a 15-4-7 record (good for 37 points).
- Looking at the 13 times last season the Capitals ended a game with just one goal, they had a 1-10-2 record, picking up four points.
- Washington finished 2-9-2 in the 13 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (registering six points).
- The Capitals scored at least three goals in 62 games (53-3-6, 112 points).
- In the 34 games when Washington recorded a single power-play goal, it went 21-10-3 to record 45 points.
- In the 47 games last season when it outshot its opponent, Washington was 32-11-4 (68 points).
- The Capitals' opponent had more shots in 43 games last season. The Capitals finished 23-14-6 in those contests (52 points).
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning had a record of 47-27-8 last season and were 6-8-14 in overtime contests.
- Tampa Bay picked up 21 points (8-9-5) in its 22 games decided by one goal.
- Last season the Lightning scored just one goal in nine games, and they finished 0-8-1.
- Tampa Bay accumulated seven points (2-11-3) when scoring two goals last season.
- The Lightning picked up 96 points in their 58 games when they scored three or more goals.
- Tampa Bay scored a lone power-play goal in 33 games last season and recorded 45 points.
- When outshooting its opponent last season, Tampa Bay was 25-18-0 (50 points).
- The Lightning were outshot by their opponents in 40 games last season, going 22-10-8 to record 52 points.
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Team Stats Comparison (2024-25)
| Capitals Rank | Capitals AVG | Lightning AVG | Lightning Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 3.49 | Goals Scored | 3.56 | 1st |
| 8th | 2.79 | Goals Allowed | 2.63 | 4th |
| 22nd | 27.6 | Shots | 28.5 | 12th |
| 10th | 27.2 | Shots Allowed | 28.1 | 14th |
| 14th | 23.53% | Power Play % | 25.86% | 5th |
| 5th | 82.01% | Penalty Kill % | 81.55% | 6th |
Capitals vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Tuesday, October 14, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
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