Capitals vs. Canadiens Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 5

The Montreal Canadiens go on the road against the Washington Capitals in Game 5 of the NHL Playoffs First Round on Wednesday, April 30, starting at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Capitals have a 3-1 lead in the series. The Capitals have -191 odds on the moneyline against the Canadiens (+158).

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Prepare for this NHL Playoffs First Round matchup with a look at who we predict will win the game.

Capitals vs. Canadiens Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer projections model for this encounter predicts a final score of Capitals 4, Canadiens 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-191)
• Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Capitals (-1.5)

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Capitals Splits and Trends

• The Capitals have gone 9-9-18 in overtime games as part of an overall record of 51-22-9.
• In the 25 games Washington has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 15-4-6 record (good for 36 points).
• In the 11 games this season the Capitals recorded just one goal, they went 1-9-1 (three points).
• Washington has scored two goals in 12 games this season (2-8-2 record, six points).
• The Capitals are 51-3-6 in the 60 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 108 points).
• In the 32 games when Washington has recorded a lone power-play goal, it picked up 43 points after finishing 20-9-3.
• In the 47 games when it outshot its opponent, Washington is 32-11-4 (68 points).
• The Capitals have been outshot by opponents in 37 games, going 21-11-5 to register 47 points.

Canadiens Splits and Trends

• The Canadiens have a record of 40-31-11 this season and are 10-12-22 in overtime games.
• In the 28 games Montreal has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 40 points.
• In 10 games this season when the Canadiens finished a game with just one goal, they earned a total of five points (2-7-1).
• When Montreal has scored two goals this season, they've earned 10 points (3-11-4 record).
• The Canadiens have scored more than two goals 53 times, earning 78 points from those matchups (36-11-6).
• Montreal has scored a single power-play goal in 33 games this season and has recorded 39 points from those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Montreal is 18-10-2 (38 points).
• The Canadiens' opponents have had more shots in 53 games. The Canadiens went 22-21-10 in those matchups (54 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Capitals vs. Canadiens Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.

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